Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

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Iran's response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious
Iran's response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

Iran’s clerical and military elite is raising up the volume of its rhetoric against a surprise agreement between the United Arab Emirates and Tehran’s arch-foe Israel to normalize ties. But the rant seems to be worse than the bite.

Iranian government has harshly criticized U.S.- brokered deal last week, with some officials admonishing that the UAE and Israel altercation to one another risks conflagration in the Middle East. Others threw veiled threats against the Gulf state.

But so far, that is it. Tehran did not remember its charge d’affaires or cut engagements with the UAE, as some other countries have earlier done.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

“Iran’s leadership has always been peaceful and has never been under tension, especially with its neighbours,” said a senior official who is an ally to top decision-makers in Iran.

“We always carry out our action based on national interests of Iran. Tehran will not accept any aggressive measure so far its interests are not endangered.”

With business engagements to Iran wallowing back over a century, the emirate of Dubai, 150 km (100 miles) across the Gulf, has for a long time been one of Iran’s main attachments to the outside world.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

Analysts said Tehran can not afford to lose Dubai as a trade route, most especially since heavy U.S. probes have drastically decreased its oil exports and complicated international business the more.

“Iran’s leaders will never disengage the branch they are sitting on,” said Tehran-based analyst Saeed Leylaz, making reference that Dubai is still one of Iran’s main attachment s to the outside world.

IRNA, Iran’s state news agency in June referenced Iranian authorities as saying that the UAE is Iran’s second trade partner after China, would continue to process a massive part of Tehran’s imports and exports.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

To prevent worsening Iran’s isolation, its clerical rulers has come up with a decision to abstain from taking an aggressive measure to the region’s changing geopolitics, said another Iranian official.

“Tehran will not benefit from any drastic measure because other countries like Oman, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia might strengthen ties with Israel as well,” said the official, who also asked to be anonymous as a result of the sensitivity of the matter.

“FLYING ISRAELI FLAG”

Israel and the UAE have for a very long time maintained an open relationship over mutual interests, but the deal stirs up opposition to Iran, a regional power perceived by UAE, Israel and the United States as a threat.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

“The ability of the Israeli flag flying in the UAE, being a very, very crucial trading partner of Iran, is a major challnege for Iranian leverage in the region,” said Meir Javedanefar, a lecturer at the Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya in Israel.

Some Iranian insiders are worried over exercising restraint over the UAE, which could make them perceive Islamic Republic as being weak among the political and paramilitary counterparts in the region who have increased Iran’s reach in the past 20 years.

For this reason, the probability that Iran’s proxies might signal dissatisfaction with the Israel-UAE accord by putting up low-level incidents cannot be erased, said a regional official.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

“Don’t be amazed if you experience small-scale explosions, bomb, drone or missile attacks  in the coming weeks in the region,” he said.

Some of the Iran’s militant hardliners might perceive as a provocation the fact that the UAE-Israel deal means official Israeli interests will clearly be stationed very close to Iran’s borders in the Gulf, the ex Iranian diplomat said.

After all, 1979 Islamic revolution proves that confrontation with Israel has been one of Iran’s foreign policy strength and Iranian officials have continuously called for an end to Israel.

REGIONAL AMBITIONS

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

Opposition to Israel is also part of the bond that unites Iran with a regional web of allied militias and groups that assist push Iranian interests, from Iraq to Lebanon and Yemen to Syria.

Israel is mostly concerned about suspected Iranian efforts to propagate nuclear weapons, which Tehran denies.

But regardless of tough rhetoric in past fracas, Iranian and Israeli officials have never showed any interest in all-out war.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

And with its economy fumbled hard by U.S. probes and the coronavirus crisis, mobilising proxies will impose massive financial and political costs on Iran, where many Iranians already detest the establishment’s regional ambitions.

As frustration persists, analysts assert Iran is in the throes of popular crisis over the country’s economic grievances. Iran’s falling economy has caused widespread protests since late 2017.

Iran’s response to Israel-UAE is Hilarious

“I don’t pay attention to the Palestinian cause, I don’t give attention to regional politics. I care more about my family,” said Masoumeh Saburi, 36, a mother of two in Tehran whose husband is jobless. “I am struggling to put food on table  for my children.”

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